[Cryptography] Question about Bitcoin's security model

John Levine johnl at iecc.com
Sat Jul 18 14:49:37 EDT 2026


It appears that Alejandro Montana via cryptography <alejandromontana at tutamail.com> said:
>For the first time, mining infrastructure has a permanent, better-paying alternative buyer for the same
>megawatts. Bitcoin’s security budget now has to compete with the AI market for the same energy, while the
>subsidy halves every four years. The old question was whether fees would be enough after the subsidy fades.
>The new question is whether fees can outbid the AI rate for the same power.
>
>This is the long-term challenge.

The difficulty factor can go down as well as up.  If fewer people are mining, the difficulty
will go down which means more subsidy per unit of CPU.

I can see a lot of problems for Bitcoin, but this isn't one of them, at least until the subsidy
hits zero and even then the fees can adjust.

R's,
John


More information about the cryptography mailing list